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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Furman Paladins Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“

Actual: Furman Paladins +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quimari Peterson 38 8-20 1-6 4-4 4 2 3 0 4 21 6 -2.4
John Buggs III 35 4-9 4-6 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 13 7 -5.4
Jaden Seymour 33 6-18 1-5 5-10 8 0 0 1 3 18 6 +0.0
Karon Boyd 32 1-1 0-0 3-4 11 1 2 0 0 5 18 -5.5
Gabe Sisk 24 1-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 3 1 2 5 11 -5.5
D.J. Hughes 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 +2.3
Roosevelt Wheeler 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 5 -1.8
Maki Johnson 5 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +4.0
Allen Strothers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -2.0

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
PJay Smith 36 6-11 2-6 7-9 6 1 0 0 3 21 14 -
Eddrin Bronson 35 4-12 2-6 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 11 3 +1.5
Nick Anderson 33 4-5 2-2 4-4 1 4 0 0 1 14 13 +8.3
Ben VanderWal 22 2-6 0-1 1-4 5 4 1 0 0 5 9 +7.5
Garrett Hien 22 2-4 0-2 1-2 7 5 3 0 3 5 13 +15.0
Cooper Bowser 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -3.1
Davis Molnar 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 9 4 -7.0
Charles Johnston 13 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 2 2 -3.0
Mason Smith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter