Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +13 (70-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Adams | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Paxton Davidson | 32 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Colby McAllister | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Brody Fox | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 6-12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | -6.1 |
| Cam Glover | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Sola Adebisi | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Christian Moore | 19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Dante Kearse | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Eze Wali | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joryam Saizonou | 34 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Demetrius Davis | 34 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -0.0 |
| Donovan Atwell | 31 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Malik Henry | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.3 |
| Akrum Ahemed | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Miles Jones | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -9.4 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.5 |
| Jalen Breath | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Mason So | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Muon Reath | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
* = starter