Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Davis | 31 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Donovan Atwell | 30 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Ronald Polite III | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Jalen Breath | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Kenyon Giles | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Joryam Saizonou | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Akrum Ahemed | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Malik Henry | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -11.7 |
| Miles Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Muon Reath | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rylan Jones | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +7.1 |
| Collin Holloway | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Lukas Walls | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Trey Fort | 24 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Josh Holloway | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Riley Allenspach | 15 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Julian Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Larry Olayinka | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Isaiah West | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Zion Wilburn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter