Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Fox | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | -15.8 |
| Sola Adebisi | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -13.7 |
| John Adams | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -13.2 |
| Paxton Davidson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Cam Glover | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | -17.3 |
| Christian Moore | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Colby McAllister | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +8.2 |
| Eze Wali | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.2 |
| Dante Kearse | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Braylen Smith | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Dominic Commisso | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Sisk | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +14.5 |
| Jaden Seymour | 24 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Allen Strothers | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Karon Boyd | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +12.8 |
| Quimari Peterson | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +12.8 |
| Maki Johnson | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +0.4 |
| John Buggs III | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +13.7 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | +12.7 |
| D.J. Hughes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +8.4 |
| Davion Bradford | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Timmy Fasehun | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Jaxson Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter