Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 34 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 11 | -11.7 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 31 | 10-13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | -6.2 |
| TJ Johnson | 31 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -11.2 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -1 | -18.6 |
| AJ Clark | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -23.6 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Cal Liston | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Robert Peters | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Maurice Wright Jr. | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Holloway | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rylan Jones | 31 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +13.9 |
| Josh Holloway | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 23 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +5.6 |
| Trey Fort | 23 | 3-11 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Lukas Walls | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Larry Olayinka | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Julian Brown | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Isaiah West | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Zion Wilburn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter