Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -2 (68-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 37 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 15 | +1.9 |
| John Buggs III | 32 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.9 |
| Jaden Seymour | 31 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +3.9 |
| Gabe Sisk | 29 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -3.1 |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Karon Boyd | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.1 |
| D.J. Hughes | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Allen Strothers | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.1 |
| Maki Johnson | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.0 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson | 38 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 7-13 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Alex Holt | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Tyler Johnson | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Cam Bryant | 29 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +3.5 |
| Brady Shoulders | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Jah Nze | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Jah Quinones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -7.9 |
* = starter