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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs Western Carolina Catamounts Spread Result
Elo 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.2% 13.8% - โœ“
Margin 92.6% 7.4% -13.9 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 82.9% 17.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.3% 22.7% - โœ“

Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts -19 (69-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rylan Jones 28 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 6 3 0 3 3 7 +18.7
Josh Holloway 27 3-6 0-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 5 8 2 -
Collin Holloway 26 2-6 0-1 3-3 6 3 0 0 1 7 9 -
Trey Fort 25 6-9 3-5 3-5 3 1 2 1 1 18 15 +27.5
Lukas Walls 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 2 -12.8
Jaden Brownell 18 8-11 3-5 4-5 4 0 0 0 1 23 15 -1.0
Julian Brown 17 2-3 2-3 3-4 1 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
Larry Olayinka 13 5-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 12 10 +5.8
Riley Allenspach 11 0-3 0-1 5-6 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -0.5
Zion Wilburn 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
Paulie Stramaglia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -6.2
Brody Boyer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.1

Western Carolina Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Morgan 30 1-10 1-6 0-1 6 3 0 0 1 3 1 -3.7
Bernard Pelote 28 9-13 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 22 12 -13.8
Cord Stansberry 26 4-11 1-3 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 11 2 -14.9
CJ Hyland 23 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 10 7 -26.3
Marcus Kell 23 2-3 1-2 3-4 2 0 1 0 3 8 5 -10.4
Fischer Brown 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 3 6 +10.2
Ice Emery 16 1-6 1-4 3-4 1 2 0 0 4 6 -1 +4.0
Vernon Collins 15 3-7 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 6 2 +1.3
Chase McKey 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 -6.6
Cinque Lemon 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.2

* = starter