Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Holt | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Tyler Johnson | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ahmad Robinson | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Cam Bryant | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | +7.0 |
| Jah Nze | 23 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | -5.4 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +12.4 |
| Jah Quinones | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Brady Shoulders | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -1.0 |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 37 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 9-12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | -2.6 |
| TJ Johnson | 37 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | +2.0 |
| AJ Clark | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | -11.3 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | +2.5 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +10.5 |
| Cal Liston | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
| Robert Peters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kaden Stuckey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter