Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.6% | 1.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.3% | 3.7% | -17.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bash Wieland | 30 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +7.6 |
| Honor Huff | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +6.3 |
| Trey Bonham | 29 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +16.2 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Frank Champion | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Jack Kostel | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Sean Cusano | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Collin Mulholland | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Noah Melson | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Makai Richards | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Latif Diouf | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.5 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Fox | 36 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Sola Adebisi | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | -5.2 |
| John Adams | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -7.8 |
| Paxton Davidson | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -6.7 |
| Keynan Davis | 20 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Cam Glover | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Colby McAllister | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Christian Moore | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dante Kearse | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.5 |
| Eze Wali | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Braylen Smith | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.0 |
* = starter