Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +30 (86-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi | 33 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -26.0 |
| Brody Fox | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | -28.8 |
| Paxton Davidson | 30 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -20.9 |
| John Adams | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -4.2 |
| Colby McAllister | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | -27.7 |
| Keynan Davis | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.0 |
| Cam Glover | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Dominic Commisso | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Braylen Smith | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Dante Kearse | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Eze Wali | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Fort | 26 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +26.0 |
| Collin Holloway | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Josh Holloway | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Brownell | 22 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +27.6 |
| Lukas Walls | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Rylan Jones | 21 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +21.8 |
| Julian Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Zion Wilburn | 12 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Riley Allenspach | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Brody Boyer | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Paulie Stramaglia | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Larry Olayinka | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Grayson Walters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter