Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -1.7 |
| Tavari Johnson | 28 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Shammah Scott | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +11.5 |
| Seth Wilson | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Amani Lyles | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | +5.8 |
| Isaiah Gray | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | +12.1 |
| Bowen Hardman | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +10.9 |
| James Okonkwo | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Sharron Young | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5.9 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.1 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 38 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -6.2 |
| Sam Lewis | 36 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Javan Simmons | 34 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +5.7 |
| Isaiah Adams | 32 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -3.0 |
| Seth Hubbard | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Bryce Ford | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.9 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Grgur Brcic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter