Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -10.4 |
| Isaiah Adams | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -9.0 |
| Sam Lewis | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Bryce Ford | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Javan Simmons | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | -3.5 |
| Seth Hubbard | 15 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Grgur Brcic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +14.5 |
| Ryan Sabol | 34 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Noah Batchelor | 34 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +11.5 |
| Tyson Dunn | 31 | 10-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Bryson Wilson | 17 | 8-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | +11.2 |
| Ben Michaels | 16 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +14.2 |
| Tim Oboh | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +7.2 |
| Kavon Bradford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.0 |
* = starter