Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +9 (61-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 34 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 30 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -6.8 |
| Payton Sparks | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -12.9 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -8.9 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Ben Hendriks | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.1 |
| TJ Burch | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Mason Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Joey Hart | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DaJion Humphrey | 37 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Javontae Campbell | 34 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | +12.8 |
| Derrick Butler | 33 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Marcus Johnson | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +1.9 |
| W. Exacte | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Jamai Felt | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +15.9 |
| Braelon Green | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +11.9 |
* = starter