Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -5 (82-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -3.2 |
| Shammah Scott | 31 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +0.1 |
| Isaiah Gray | 26 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Amani Lyles | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Seth Wilson | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Tavari Johnson | 17 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Bowen Hardman | 15 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Sharron Young | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +3.8 |
| James Okonkwo | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 38 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 33 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17 | +7.1 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 32 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 29 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Payton Sparks | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Ben Hendriks | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.7 |
| TJ Burch | 11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Joey Hart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.9 |
| Mason Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
* = starter