Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 38 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | -13.0 |
| Tyson Dunn | 35 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -16.0 |
| Noah Batchelor | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -16.0 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Kavon Bradford | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Tim Oboh | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -11.0 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Ben Michaels | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Brayden Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Bryson Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juanse Gorosito | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +5.0 |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 31 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +7.0 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 31 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +16.0 |
| F. Hill | 29 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Mason Jones | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +9.0 |
| Ben Hendriks | 11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Joey Hart | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| TJ Burch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Zane Doughty | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter