Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Michigan Eagles +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis | 38 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Sonny Wilson | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Isaiah Adams | 28 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | -2.5 |
| Bryce Ford | 28 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Javan Simmons | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -9.9 |
| Seth Hubbard | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Grgur Brcic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Terry | 40 | 15-17 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 28 | +5.7 |
| Christian Henry | 32 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Da'Sean Nelson | 32 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Arne Osojnik | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Jalin Billingsley | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Dillon Tingler | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 |
| John Shanu II | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Yusuf Jihad | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3.1 |
| Godslove Nwabude | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter