Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +12 (92-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis | 34 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Sonny Wilson | 34 | 9-11 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | -10.1 |
| Isaiah Adams | 31 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | -4.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 29 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Javan Simmons | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -16.0 |
| Seth Hubbard | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.0 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Grgur Brcic | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Tyler Ode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Suder | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Kam Craft | 27 | 13-22 | 9-14 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 18 | +18.0 |
| Eian Elmer | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +12.0 |
| Evan Ipsaro | 23 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | +8.0 |
| Brant Byers | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Reece Potter | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +21.2 |
| Mekhi Cooper | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Antwone Woolfolk | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Luke Skaljac | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -5.0 |
* = starter