Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | -4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Shereef Mitchell | 34 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -0.3 |
| AJ Brown | 29 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -5.5 |
| AJ Clayton | 25 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -6.9 |
| Elmore James | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +15.9 |
| Elijah Elliott | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Vic Searls | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +9.9 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johnson | 35 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Derrick Butler | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | -3.4 |
| DaJion Humphrey | 27 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +14.2 |
| Trey Thomas | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Jamai Felt | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +4.4 |
| Javontae Campbell | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Braelon Green | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -13.7 |
| W. Exacte | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -12.9 |
* = starter