Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +3.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Henry | 44 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Terry | 44 | 10-18 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | -6.9 |
| Da'Sean Nelson | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -6.9 |
| Arne Osojnik | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Jalin Billingsley | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Dillon Tingler | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.9 |
| John Shanu II | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -6.8 |
| Yusuf Jihad | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Godslove Nwabude | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 39 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Payton Sparks | 35 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +4.9 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Ben Hendriks | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mason Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Joey Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
* = starter