Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +13 (87-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 37 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -13.5 |
| Tyson Dunn | 36 | 8-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | -14.5 |
| Noah Batchelor | 31 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -12.6 |
| Bryson Wilson | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.7 |
| Tim Oboh | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +1.3 |
| Ben Michaels | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -12.9 |
| Omar Migues-Hibeljic | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Kavon Bradford | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Lloyd McVeigh | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +7.0 |
| Sonny Wilson | 32 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +11.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Sam Lewis | 28 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +18.6 |
| Javan Simmons | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | +12.6 |
| Seth Hubbard | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Grgur Brcic | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter