Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas +19 (90-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Thomas | 39 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -15.1 |
| Jamai Felt | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -9.8 |
| Marcus Johnson | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -21.7 |
| W. Exacte | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -11.6 |
| Javontae Campbell | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -20.6 |
| Braelon Green | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -14.5 |
| DaJion Humphrey | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -6.4 |
| Jaxon Pardon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Greg Spurgin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
| Preston Squire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pritchard | 35 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +17.8 |
| Ugnius Jarusevicius | 34 | 8-15 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +19.8 |
| Cayden Vasko | 33 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +16.8 |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 25 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | +23.6 |
| Jakobi Heady | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Shaedon Simpson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Quentin Heady | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| DeCorion Temple | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Damarion Bonds | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Drew Barbee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter