Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Williams | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +7.5 |
| JaVaughn Hannah | 33 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Markhi Strickland | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Chansey Willis Jr. | 30 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Max Burton | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +5.1 |
| EJ Ryans | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Brandon Muntu | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Michael Sulaka | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Seryee Lewis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Marquese Josephs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 38 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +0.7 |
| F. Hill | 37 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 32 | -10.0 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | -0.2 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Joey Hart | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Ben Hendriks | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +11.9 |
| Zane Doughty | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Mason Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter