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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Kent State Golden Flashes Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% - โœ“
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 โœ“ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 60.2% 39.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.5% 40.5% - โœ“

Actual: Toledo Rockets -19 (64-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kent State Golden Flashes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cian Medley 35 7-12 4-7 4-4 1 7 0 0 5 22 13 +11.0
VonCameron Davis 30 7-14 1-2 4-4 2 2 0 0 4 19 5 +10.5
Jamal Sumlin 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 4 5 +8.5
Delrecco Gillespie 22 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 0 7 10 +13.1
Cli'ron Hornbeak 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 4 +15.6
Anthony Morales 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 -1.1
Marquis Barnett 19 5-8 3-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 0 13 14 +19.1
Mike Bekelja 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 2 7 -0.8
Jalen Sullinger 14 4-8 4-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 12 8 +10.5
Magnus Entenmann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Lewis 35 3-10 0-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 8 5 -10.0
Sonny Wilson 34 8-14 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 0 2 19 8 -12.2
Isaiah Adams 32 1-6 1-3 4-4 1 5 3 1 6 7 5 -9.9
Javan Simmons 28 7-9 0-0 5-6 7 2 1 1 1 19 20 -2.6
Seth Hubbard 23 3-6 1-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 8 2 -16.0
Bryce Ford 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 1 0 1 3 -5.3
Andre Lorentsson 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -13.1
Grgur Brcic 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -14.2
Jaylan Ouwinga 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Tyler Ode 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter