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2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Miami (OH) RedHawks Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“

Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +8 (84-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Thomas 39 5-12 3-6 4-5 3 7 1 0 2 17 14 -2.8
Marcus Johnson 38 4-11 3-5 0-0 6 4 2 0 4 11 8 -3.5
Derrick Butler 38 6-16 4-9 1-2 0 1 3 0 2 17 3 -5.4
Jamai Felt 30 6-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 1 3 15 14 -4.4
Javontae Campbell 30 3-5 0-0 8-8 4 3 3 1 1 14 19 +1.6
DaJion Humphrey 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -12.3
W. Exacte 9 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.2
Braelon Green 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -6.1
Preston Squire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eian Elmer 36 5-11 0-5 0-0 5 2 4 0 2 10 8 +10.5
Mekhi Cooper 29 5-8 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 14 8 +11.3
Peter Suder 24 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 11 6 -6.6
Evan Ipsaro 23 0-0 0-0 4-4 4 2 2 0 1 4 11 +9.4
Antwone Woolfolk 23 4-8 0-1 3-4 7 2 0 3 1 11 14 +5.6
Kam Craft 22 5-8 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 13 9 -0.7
Brant Byers 20 4-10 1-6 3-4 1 1 1 0 3 12 2 +11.4
Reece Potter 17 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 9 8 +2.5
Luke Skaljac 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4.8

* = starter