Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.2% | 5.8% | -15.4 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -32 (58-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 27 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +20.4 |
| Shammah Scott | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +28.7 |
| Seth Wilson | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Sharron Young | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +18.9 |
| Tavari Johnson | 20 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +9.3 |
| Amani Lyles | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | +8.9 |
| James Okonkwo | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +15.4 |
| Bowen Hardman | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +15.9 |
| Isaiah Gray | 16 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +25.8 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Evan Wilson | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5.1 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol | 29 | 5-12 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -17.2 |
| Noah Batchelor | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -17.3 |
| Tyson Dunn | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -14.3 |
| Ben Michaels | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -25.6 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 21 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -12.4 |
| Kavon Bradford | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -15.0 |
| Omar Migues-Hibeljic | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -16.0 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Bryson Wilson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Brayden Jackson | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Lloyd McVeigh | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Tim Oboh | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -10.8 |
| Sam Akot | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.9 |
* = starter