Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 34 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +0.7 |
| Isaiah Adams | 34 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Bryce Ford | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | -9.6 |
| Javan Simmons | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -12.5 |
| Sam Lewis | 28 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -10.4 |
| Seth Hubbard | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Grgur Brcic | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 35 | 12-23 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21 | +8.4 |
| Shammah Scott | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Tavari Johnson | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Isaiah Gray | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -8.9 |
| Seth Wilson | 21 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Amani Lyles | 19 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +3.7 |
| Sharron Young | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +8.8 |
| James Okonkwo | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +12.0 |
| Bowen Hardman | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
* = starter