Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Batchelor | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -21.2 |
| Ryan Sabol | 32 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -18.2 |
| Tyson Dunn | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | -22.4 |
| Ben Michaels | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -7.4 |
| Bryson Wilson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -8.5 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Kavon Bradford | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Tim Oboh | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Lloyd McVeigh | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 |
| Frederiks Meinarts | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
| Omar Migues-Hibeljic | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Brayden Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Sam Akot | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Thomas | 35 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 6 | +15.8 |
| Marcus Johnson | 32 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | +13.3 |
| Derrick Butler | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +12.4 |
| Braelon Green | 28 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Javontae Campbell | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +14.4 |
| Jamai Felt | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +18.4 |
| W. Exacte | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +7.5 |
| Preston Squire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter