Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +15 (86-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | -17.4 |
| F. Hill | 33 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 6-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Payton Sparks | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -6.4 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Joey Hart | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Ben Hendriks | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.8 |
| Mason Jones | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +3.2 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke | 32 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +12.2 |
| AJ Clayton | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +11.5 |
| Aidan Hadaway | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +17.5 |
| Shereef Mitchell | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +5.6 |
| Elmore James | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Vic Searls | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -1.2 |
| AJ Brown | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +3.9 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 14 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Elijah Elliott | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Ayden Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter