Model Predictions
| Model | Central Michigan Chippewas | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Pritchard | 37 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Jakobi Heady | 35 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +11.4 |
| Ugnius Jarusevicius | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Cayden Vasko | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.6 |
| Damarion Bonds | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Shaedon Simpson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.9 |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 34 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Javan Simmons | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 23 | +0.6 |
| Isaiah Adams | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Sam Lewis | 31 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -6.3 |
| Bryce Ford | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Seth Hubbard | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Grgur Brcic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter