Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Butler | 38 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -20.6 |
| Marcus Johnson | 35 | 5-19 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | -19.6 |
| Javontae Campbell | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -17.7 |
| W. Exacte | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -23.7 |
| Braelon Green | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -6.4 |
| Trey Thomas | 23 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -23.2 |
| Jamai Felt | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.2 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 38 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 33 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | +16.7 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | +18.6 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 26 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +11.6 |
| Payton Sparks | 24 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +17.4 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Ben Hendriks | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Joey Hart | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Mason Jones | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12.2 |
* = starter