Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (OH) RedHawks | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Craft | 33 | 12-18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | +8.7 |
| Peter Suder | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Eian Elmer | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +10.8 |
| Reece Potter | 25 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Mekhi Cooper | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +10.7 |
| Evan Ipsaro | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Antwone Woolfolk | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Brant Byers | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Luke Skaljac | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.1 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 33 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 30 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | -1.8 |
| Payton Sparks | 29 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 27 | -0.9 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 27 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -5.9 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Ben Hendriks | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -10.0 |
| Mason Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| Joey Hart | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.8 |
| TJ Burch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter