Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Michigan Eagles | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +3 (90-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Henry | 36 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jalen Terry | 35 | 9-14 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | -17.6 |
| Da'Sean Nelson | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Dillon Tingler | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -17.4 |
| Jalin Billingsley | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -13.6 |
| Arne Osojnik | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -13.8 |
| Yusuf Jihad | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Godslove Nwabude | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.7 |
| John Shanu II | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Trey Pettigrew | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis | 34 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | +13.5 |
| Sonny Wilson | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 7-11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 10 | +7.6 |
| Javan Simmons | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +6.6 |
| Isaiah Adams | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +17.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 28 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +13.6 |
| Seth Hubbard | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +10.7 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Grgur Brcic | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +10.8 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
* = starter