Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Butler | 40 | 6-14 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +6.7 |
| Marcus Johnson | 37 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Trey Thomas | 30 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Javontae Campbell | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +12.6 |
| W. Exacte | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -8.9 |
| Jamai Felt | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Braelon Green | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Preston Squire | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lobsinger | 33 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Markhi Strickland | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Chansey Willis Jr. | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Brandon Muntu | 25 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +10.0 |
| JaVaughn Hannah | 23 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Max Burton | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -6.3 |
| Michael Sulaka | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Donovan Williams | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -6.2 |
| EJ Ryans | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Seryee Lewis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.0 |
* = starter