Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | +5.4 |
| Sam Lewis | 33 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Javan Simmons | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +7.6 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 24 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +8.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Seth Hubbard | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Isaiah Adams | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1.7 |
| Grgur Brcic | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5.0 |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chansey Willis Jr. | 37 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -5.7 |
| Owen Lobsinger | 32 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 2-5 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -0.9 |
| Markhi Strickland | 32 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Max Burton | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +1.7 |
| JaVaughn Hannah | 24 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -7.5 |
| Brandon Muntu | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Donovan Williams | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -9.7 |
| Marquese Josephs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Michael Sulaka | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Seryee Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter