Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Kent State Golden Flashes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kent State Golden Flashes -8 (67-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 10 | - |
| J. Hernandez | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +18.6 |
| M. Pearson Jr. | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | +19.0 |
| J. Gorosito | 29 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -5.0 |
| P. Sparks | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | +13.1 |
| E. Brittain-Watts | 25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -0.6 |
| B. Hendriks | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +7.0 |
| M. Jones | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.3 |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sullinger | 35 | 4-16 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | +2.6 |
| V. Davis | 32 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | -9.9 |
| D. Gillespie | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14.6 |
| C. Medley | 25 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -23.4 |
| J. Sumlin | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +6.9 |
| C. Hornbeak | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14.4 |
| A. Morales | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -0.1 |
| M. Barnett | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +13.4 |
| M. Bekelja | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.4 |
* = starter