Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rider Broncs +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 32 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | -4.3 |
| Will Shortt | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Justin Page | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -15.2 |
| Jahari Williamson | 23 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +7.8 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Zion Russell | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12.2 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -10.1 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.9 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 40 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | +7.9 |
| Zion Cruz | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Flash Burton | 30 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | +16.3 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +6.3 |
| Jay Alvarez | 15 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Cole McCabe | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Ife West-Ingram | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Tank Byard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter