Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats | 38 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | -13.1 |
| Major Freeman | 37 | 3-13 | 3-10 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -14.1 |
| Gavin Doty | 36 | 8-21 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Brendan Coyle | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -16.4 |
| Tajae Jones | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -5.3 |
| Peter Carey | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13.5 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Kyle Winters | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Michael Ojo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Devin Brafford | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Luke Cecchi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.0 |
| Chris Torres | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.1 |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 37 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +13.0 |
| Masiah Gilyard | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +9.3 |
| Shaquil Bender | 31 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +13.2 |
| Wesley Robinson | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +14.1 |
| Devin Dinkins | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Will Sydnor | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +6.7 |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| Daniel Hackett | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.2 |
| Aryan Arora | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| Michael Lawlor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3.0 |
| John Berbano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Jackson Delaney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter