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2025-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Quinnipiac Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 โœ“ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“

Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Pacheco 36 6-9 5-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 17 10 -8.3
Xavier Lipscomb 35 2-7 1-4 3-4 9 6 0 0 1 8 15 -6.7
Dola Adebayo 34 8-16 1-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 17 3 -4.2
Jedy Cordilia 33 4-12 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 8 2 -3.5
Dallas Hobbs 32 3-13 2-9 2-2 3 6 1 0 3 10 4 +5.8
Javon Ervin 15 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -3.9
Malcolm Dread 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -1.3
Trey Wilson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2.3
Patrick Haigh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -8.9

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amarri Tice 38 7-17 1-7 7-8 10 2 3 1 0 22 21 -
Paul Otieno 37 6-13 1-4 3-3 6 0 1 5 3 16 12 +8.0
Savion Lewis 33 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 11 1 1 0 6 18 -0.6
Alexis Reyes 30 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 8 10 +2.0
Jaden Zimmerman 25 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 +20.7
Khaden Bennett 23 6-11 2-4 6-8 2 0 1 1 1 20 12 +0.5
Doug Young 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 +0.8
Grant Randall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -2.1
Richie Springs 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.1

* = starter