Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 38 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | -1.3 |
| J. Bergens | 34 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Braden Sparks | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +4.3 |
| K. Jenkins | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Deon Perry | 28 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | +0.2 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Peyton Smith | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
| M. Riek | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3.1 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Shoats | 40 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Gavin Doty | 35 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Major Freeman | 34 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Brendan Coyle | 30 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Peter Carey | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +8.0 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Tajae Jones | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Kyle Winters | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter