Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Sacred Heart Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacred Heart Pioneers +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 40 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 27 | -18.4 |
| Braden Sparks | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -19.0 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 29 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -18.0 |
| J. Bergens | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -25.2 |
| K. Jenkins | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.5 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +0.2 |
| M. Riek | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Peyton Smith | 12 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Deon Perry | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.5 |
Sacred Heart Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Johnson | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | +20.7 |
| Tanner Thomas | 32 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +16.9 |
| Mekhi Conner | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +10.0 |
| Griffin Barrouk | 27 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | +12.2 |
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer | 27 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | +12.5 |
| Amiri Stewart | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +10.8 |
| Fallou Gueye | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Taj Bryant | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +11.8 |
| Lucius Gibson-Savadel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Malik Sheppard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Keyishon Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter