Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb | 35 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -5.0 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 35 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Dola Adebayo | 30 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -5.9 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -11.7 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +8.6 |
| Patrick Haigh | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +9.8 |
| Malcolm Dread | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Trey Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 37 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | -2.5 |
| K. Jenkins | 36 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +10.4 |
| J. Bergens | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +12.9 |
| Braden Sparks | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +10.7 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Deon Perry | 21 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Peyton Smith | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.8 |
| M. Riek | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
* = starter