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2025-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Weeks Jr. 37 5-15 4-13 4-5 5 2 3 1 1 18 13 -6.3
Flash Burton 36 2-9 0-2 5-6 1 4 2 0 4 9 3 -7.8
Ruben Rodriguez 36 4-8 3-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 11 8 +2.2
Tariq Ingraham 35 5-9 0-0 5-5 11 2 0 1 0 15 20 -4.9
Zion Cruz 30 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 13 7 +6.1
Tank Byard 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -5.7
Jay Alvarez 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -7.6
Ife West-Ingram 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -4.9

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Xavier Lipscomb 35 2-4 2-2 5-7 8 2 0 0 3 11 14 -1.2
Dallas Hobbs 31 4-11 1-4 4-6 6 4 1 1 1 13 13 +5.9
Carmelo Pacheco 29 2-7 1-5 5-5 1 3 0 0 0 10 7 +8.9
Dola Adebayo 28 4-9 1-4 2-3 8 3 2 1 3 11 13 +0.1
Terrell Ard Jr. 27 4-10 0-0 5-7 5 0 0 2 0 13 10 +19.4
Jedy Cordilia 24 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 8 -7.1
Arlandus Keyes 13 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 8 9 +6.7
A. Khadre Kebe 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Javon Ervin 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter