Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Page | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Olumide Adelodun | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | -1.2 |
| Jahari Williamson | 29 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | -4.2 |
| Zion Russell | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +1.9 |
| J. Davis | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Jhaylon Martinez | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Will Shortt | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Damondre Mcknight | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Jaeden Marshall | 13 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -6.1 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli | 33 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Elijah Lewis | 32 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jaden Daughtry | 30 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +8.2 |
| Tarik Watson | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Jason Schofield | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Travis Roberts | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Trace Salton | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Matt McCool | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Parby Kabamba | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Martin Kawa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter