Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Rider Broncs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✗ (25.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rider Broncs -20 (49-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 40 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +7.3 |
| J. Bergens | 39 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +10.8 |
| K. Jenkins | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +12.1 |
| Braden Sparks | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +9.9 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +10.9 |
| Peyton Smith | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -5.0 |
| Deon Perry | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| M. Riek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. | 36 | 4-12 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Zion Cruz | 29 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Ruben Rodriguez | 29 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8.9 |
| Tariq Ingraham | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Flash Burton | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Cole McCabe | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10.9 |
| Zocko Littleton Jr.. | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Jay Alvarez | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Tank Byard | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Andre Young | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.0 |
| Ife West-Ingram | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Tyriek Weeks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter