Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masiah Gilyard | 34 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | +9.3 |
| Shaquil Bender | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Wesley Robinson | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Devin Dinkins | 31 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +16.6 |
| Will Sydnor | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +10.6 |
| Jaden Winston | 27 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | -2.5 |
| Marko Ljubicic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Aryan Arora | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Michael Lawlor | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| John Berbano | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Jackson Delaney | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Daniel Hackett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Johnson | 40 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | -11.7 |
| J. Bergens | 39 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -4.0 |
| K. Jenkins | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -15.8 |
| Peyton Smith | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -3.7 |
| Louis Bleechmore | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Braden Sparks | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | -3.7 |
| M. Riek | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.6 |
| Isaac Munkadi | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Deon Perry | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Michael Rogan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
* = starter