Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Pacheco | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Jedy Cordilia | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3 | +13.2 |
| Xavier Lipscomb | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | -0.8 |
| Dola Adebayo | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | +14.3 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 24 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Terrell Ard Jr. | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -2.6 |
| Javon Ervin | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +11.8 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kopa | 40 | 6-14 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | -5.8 |
| P. McMillan IV | 35 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | -2.9 |
| Anthony Benard | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -10.9 |
| Dylan Godfrey | 28 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | -8.3 |
| Cam Palesse | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -6.2 |
| G. Thompson | 23 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Evan Van Der Plas | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.4 |
* = starter