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2025-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Saint Peter's Peacocks Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 โœ“ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Peter's Peacocks +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Johnson 37 4-12 0-2 1-2 10 3 3 0 2 9 11 -13.2
J. Bergens 33 4-10 1-5 2-3 1 1 0 1 1 11 3 -14.8
Braden Sparks 30 3-7 2-6 3-4 3 2 2 0 1 11 10 -3.7
K. Jenkins 27 4-8 2-4 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 12 6 -12.6
Peyton Smith 16 1-8 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 3 1 -3.9
Louis Bleechmore 16 1-3 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 4 3 -6.9
Deon Perry 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.0
M. Riek 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +2.0
Isaac Munkadi 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 2 1 -0.9
Michael Rogan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5.0
B. Seck 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -9.0

Saint Peter's Peacocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Randolph 37 2-12 1-5 8-8 3 1 2 0 1 13 6 +20.8
Stephon Roberts 36 0-1 0-0 4-6 10 2 0 2 3 4 14 +15.8
Mouhamed Sow 31 2-4 0-1 2-3 5 0 1 1 1 6 8 +10.8
Bryce Eaton 26 3-9 1-4 6-6 3 0 0 0 2 13 5 -4.1
Eric Morgan Jr. 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 2 0 -1.1
Armoni Zeigler 18 4-5 0-0 6-7 6 0 0 0 3 14 12 +20.9
Zaakir Williamson 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 5 5 +3.0
Tyreck Morris 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 +6.0
Adetokunbo Bakare 10 1-3 1-3 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 4 9 +6.9

* = starter