Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +4.4 | ✗ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli | 37 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +2.2 |
| Elijah Lewis | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jadin Collins-Roberts | 28 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Tarik Watson | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Trace Salton | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -13.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | +17.0 |
| Travis Roberts | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 |
| Jason Schofield | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Martin Kawa | 9 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Caleb Mackrey | 7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -4.0 |
| Matt McCool | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Parby Kabamba | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty | 40 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 8-12 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | -2.2 |
| Major Freeman | 40 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Justice Shoats | 40 | 5-17 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Brendan Coyle | 31 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Myles Wilmoth | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Tajae Jones | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Devin Brafford | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Kyle Winters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter