Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -1 (83-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Lipscomb | 32 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -6.8 |
| D. Hobbs | 30 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 9 | -5.8 |
| J. Cordilia | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +1.0 |
| C. Pacheco | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | -2.6 |
| D. Adebayo | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -8.7 |
| T. Ard Jr. | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -3.1 |
| A. Keyes | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4.2 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Ervin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.8 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Adelodun | 32 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23 | +6.7 |
| J. Marshall | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | -1.1 |
| J. Davis | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | +10.6 |
| Z. Russell | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +1.7 |
| J. Martinez | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +5.7 |
| J. Page | 19 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +12.4 |
| W. Shortt | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.3 |
| J. Williamson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.1 |
| D. McKnight | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -0.7 |
* = starter