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2025-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% -
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Iona Gaels -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Weeks Jr. 39 5-12 0-3 7-8 8 4 0 0 2 17 15 +11.2
Z. Cruz 36 6-13 3-6 3-6 4 2 2 2 4 18 11 +5.5
R. Rodriguez 30 4-4 0-0 3-4 2 5 1 1 0 11 16 +5.5
T. Ingraham 25 2-7 0-0 6-6 8 0 0 1 2 10 10 +4.4
T. Byard 24 4-6 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 11 9 +8.4
F. Burton 22 0-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 0 5 +9.2
J. Alvarez 22 3-11 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 7 0 -8.8
I. West-Ingram 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.0

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reaves 36 9-17 3-7 0-0 4 2 2 1 2 21 11 -2.6
A. Njie 34 3-13 0-2 4-6 2 12 2 0 3 10 10 -5.8
L. Jungers 30 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 14 11 +4.0
J. Menard 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 3 4 -2.5
Y. Moundi 24 9-10 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 0 0 18 16 +3.6
C. Rupert 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 5 8 -13.2
C. Emuobor 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 -3.1
K. Bundy 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 5 -8.0
C. Winborne 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter